Provisional — the model has learned from 0 settled rounds. Confidence is not yet meaningful.
–:––until settle
Win rate
—
no settled rounds yet
Last 20
—
rolling form
BTC · Chainlink TWAP60
—
—
baseline —
Model vs market
—
model p(up)
—
edge
—
polymarket
TimeSignalConfResult
What the model is weightingv0
Signal is frozen at the window open from ticks timestamped at or before it, then written once and never revised — non-repainting.
Resolves on Polymarket's settled outcome (Chainlink BTC/USD 60s TWAP). Not financial advice.